Data Management (MDM4U) · Statistical Analysis

Correlation vs. causation

Evaluate a described study or correlation and choose the most defensible conclusion about causation. Unlimited questions, five difficulty levels, and a full worked solution every time — free.

Practice this skill Curriculum: MDM4U-SA3.1

Try one

National data shows that the number of a certain genre of movies released each year is strongly correlated with the number of pool drownings that year, even though there's no reasonable connection between the two. What's the best conclusion?

  • There's likely a lurking (confounding) variable explaining both trends.
  • This shows causation, supported by a properly controlled experiment.
  • The correlation is most likely coincidental, not a real relationship.
  • Correlation alone doesn't prove causation here -- more (experimental) evidence would be needed to conclude one causes the other.

Answer: The correlation is most likely coincidental, not a real relationship.

See one solved, step by step

A study of elementary school students of many different ages found that students with bigger feet tend to have better reading scores. What's the best conclusion?

  • This shows causation, supported by a properly controlled experiment.
  • Correlation alone doesn't prove causation here -- more (experimental) evidence would be needed to conclude one causes the other.
  • There's likely a lurking (confounding) variable explaining both trends.
  • The correlation is most likely coincidental, not a real relationship.
📘 Worked solution
1There's likely a lurking (confounding) variable explaining both trends.Age is the lurking variable: older kids have both bigger feet and stronger reading skills.

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